Politics is generally like that old joke about wrasslin’ pigs. More, it’s like walking into the middle of a bar fight and asking “Who started this?” and expecting a useful answer. One may be available, but not from the participants. At least, not likely.
The only viable stance to take is to ask yourself, What is it you hope to gain from who you back? And then, how likely is it you’ll get it from the one you’re backing? Detailed analysis of outcomes are problematic while the punches and beer bottles are being thrown. Conclusions from that must wait till after the fight is over and the cleaning up begins. …